Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Reports Third Quarter 2015 Financial Results
Announces Increase to Share Repurchase Program

ARLINGTON, Va., Oct. 26, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AI) (the "Company" or "Arlington") today reported non-GAAP core operating income of $31.1 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2015, or $1.35 per diluted share.  Excluding realized gains and losses on private-label mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), the Company reported non-GAAP core operating income of $31.2 million, or $1.35 per diluted share.  A reconciliation of non-GAAP core operating income measures to GAAP net income (loss) appears at the end of this press release. 

Third Quarter 2015 Financial Highlights

  • $1.35 per diluted share of non-GAAP core operating income
  • $1.35 per diluted share of non-GAAP core operating income excluding gain (loss) on private-label MBS
  • $(2.29) per diluted share of net loss
  • $20.75 per share of book value
  • $0.625 per share dividend declared
  • Board approval for share repurchase program of up to 2.0 million shares of Class A common stock

"Continued interest rate volatility and spread widening between the Company's interest rate hedges and its agency MBS investments primarily drove the decline in book value during the quarter," said J. Rock Tonkel, Jr., the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer.  "In light of continued expectations for moderate economic growth and more stable interest rates, the Company adjusted the composition of its hedges during the quarter by increasing its 10-year duration hedge instruments and reducing its shorter duration Eurodollar futures.  Looking forward, our interest rate hedges continue to be structured to maintain substantial protection to our agency MBS portfolio against rising interest rates but with a lower initial hedge cost.  As of quarter end, the Company's allocation of investable capital remained relatively unchanged with approximately 23% directed to private-label MBS.  The Company expects to maintain its current allocation of investable capital to private-label MBS in the near future to capture the benefit of investment diversification and return opportunities afforded by investing in credit oriented, variable rate investments at low leverage levels.  Also, we are pleased to announce that the Company's wholly-owned captive insurance subsidiary was approved as a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank ("FHLB") of Cincinnati during the quarter providing the Company with diversification of funding sources at a reduced cost to traditional repurchase financing.  Beginning in the fourth quarter, the Company further expanded its lower cost funding sources with its initial "direct repo" provider." 

Other Third Quarter Highlights

As of September 30, 2015, the Company's agency investment portfolio totaled $4,198 million consisting of $3,790 million of agency MBS and $408 million of net long to-be-announced ("TBA") agency securities.  As of September 30, 2015, the Company's $3,790 million of fixed-rate agency MBS were comprised of the following:

  • $537.3 million of 3.5% 30-year MBS
  • $3,107.7 million of 4.0% 30-year MBS
  • $145.0 million of 4.5% 30-year MBS

As of September 30, 2015, the Company's agency MBS had a weighted average original cost of 105.99 and a weighted average market price of 106.99.  The Company's fixed-rate agency MBS was specifically selected for their prepayment protections with approximately 48% of the Company's agency MBS portfolio in specified pools of low loan balance loans, approximately 26% in specified pools of loans issued under the Home Affordable Refinance Program ("HARP"), while the remainder includes specified pools of loans with low FICO scores or with other characteristics selected for the prepayment protection.  Weighted average pay-up premiums on the Company's agency MBS portfolio, which represent the estimated price premium of agency MBS backed by specified pools over a generic TBA agency security, increased modestly to approximately 3/5 of a point as of September 30, 2015 compared to approximately 1/2 of a point as of June 30, 2015.  The three-month constant prepayment rate ("CPR") for the Company's agency MBS decreased to 8.16% as of September 30, 2015, compared to 12.34% as of June 30, 2015. 

As of September 30, 2015, the Company's net long TBA securities had a net notional amount of $390.0 million, purchase price of $404.9 million and market value of $408.4 million resulting in a net GAAP carrying fair value of $3.5 million.  The Company accounts for its TBA mortgage portfolio as derivative instruments and recognizes income from TBA dollar rolls in other gains and losses in the Company's financial statements.  As of September 30, 3015, the Company's $408.4 million of net long TBA securities were comprised of the following:

  • $265.8 million of 3.5% 30-year MBS
  • $90.5 million of 4.0% 30-year MBS
  • $52.1 million of 3.0% 15-year MBS

As of September 30, 2015, the total weighted average notional amount of the Company's interest rate hedges on its agency investment portfolio was $3,050 million comprised of Eurodollar futures, 10-year interest rate swap futures and 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.  The total weighted average hedge notional amount as a percentage of the Company's outstanding repurchase agreement and FHLB advance financing on its agency MBS and net long TBA position was 79% as of September 30, 2015.  As of September 30, 2015, the Company's Eurodollar futures run consecutively for five quarters from June 2016 through June 2017 with a weighted average notional amount of $1,000 million and a weighted average contract rate of 2.40% and a current market rate of 0.93%.  As of September 30, 2015, the Company had $985 million in notional 10-year interest rate swap futures with a weighted average implied contract rate of 2.28% and a current market rate of 2.06%.  The Company also had $1,065 million in notional 10-year U.S. Treasury futures that were purchased when the 10-year U.S. Treasury rate was 2.20% on a weighted average basis and had a market rate of 2.06% as of period end. 

Interest income less interest expense on short-term financing on the Company's agency MBS portfolio for the third quarter of 2015 was $33.5 million.  The amortization of net premiums on the Company's agency MBS is reflected in the Company's GAAP net income and changes in book value through net investment gains and losses rather than through net interest income and core operating income.  For the quarter ended September 30, 2015, the amortization of the Company's net premium on its agency MBS based on actual total principal payments was approximately $8.1 million, or $0.35 per diluted share.  During the third quarter of 2015, the Company recorded net investment gains on its agency investment portfolio of $34.2 million and net investment losses on its related derivative hedging instruments of $104.2 million for a net investment loss on its hedged agency portfolio of $70.0 million.  In recent quarters, the Company's increased allocation of capital to agency MBS has resulted in growth in the Company's net interest income and core operating income.  With this growth in the agency MBS portfolio, the economic costs of the Company's hedge instruments have grown proportionately, which are reflected in the Company's GAAP net income and changes in book value through net investment gains and losses rather than through net interest income and core operating income. 

As of September 30, 2015, the Company's private-label MBS portfolio consisted of $179.2 million in face value with an amortized cost basis of $120.8 million and a fair value of $134.8 million.  During the third quarter of 2015, the Company sold private-label MBS for sale proceeds of $14.2 million, realizing a GAAP gain of $1.0 million.  Net sale proceeds from these private-label MBS after deducting associated repurchase financing was $7.6 million.  Interest income less interest expense on short-term financing on the Company's private-label MBS portfolio for the third quarter of 2015 was $3.0 million, including non-cash accretion of $1.8 million required under GAAP. 

As of September 30, 2015, the Company had $3,121 million of repurchase agreements outstanding with a weighted average rate of 48 basis points and $308.5 million of FHLB advances outstanding with a weighted average rate of 19 basis points secured by an aggregate of $3,613 million of agency MBS at fair value.  As of September 30, 2015, the Company also had $32.4 million of repurchase agreements outstanding with a weighted average rate of 214 basis points secured by $59.0 million of private-label MBS at fair value.

Stock Repurchase Program

The Company also announced today that its board of directors has authorized an increase in the Company's share repurchase program pursuant to which the Company may repurchase up to 2.0 million shares of its Class A common stock, which includes the 205,485 shares previously available to be repurchased under the prior share repurchase program established in July 2010.

Dividend

The Company's Board of Directors approved a $0.625 dividend for the third quarter of 2015.  The dividend will be paid on October 30, 2015 to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2015. 

The tax characterization of the Company's distributions to shareholders is determined annually and reported to shareholders on Form 1099-DIV after the end of the calendar year.  As a C-corporation, distributions to shareholders of current or accumulated earnings and profits are qualified dividends eligible for the 23.8% federal income tax rate whereas similar distributions to shareholders by a REIT of current or accumulated earnings and profits are nonqualified dividends subject to the higher 43.4% tax rate on ordinary income.  Any distributions in excess of current or accumulated earnings and profits would be reported as returns of capital instead of qualified dividends.  Distributions that are classified as returns of capital are nontaxable to the extent they do not exceed a shareholder's adjusted tax basis in the Company's stock, or as a capital gain to the extent that the amount of the distribution exceeds a shareholder's adjusted tax basis in the Company's stock.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call for investors at 9:00 A.M. Eastern Time on Tuesday, October 27, 2015 to discuss the results.  Investors wishing to listen to the earnings call may do so via the Internet at:  http://www.arlingtonasset.com/index.php?s=19.

Replays of the earnings call will be available for 60 days via webcast at the Internet address provided above, beginning two hours after the call ends.

About the Company

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AI) is a principal investment firm that currently invests primarily in mortgage-related and other assets.  The Company is headquartered in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area.  For more information, please visit www.arlingtonasset.com.

Statements concerning interest rates, portfolio allocation, financing costs, portfolio hedging, prepayments, dividends, book value, FHLB advances, direct repo, and any other guidance on present or future periods constitute forward-looking statements that are subject to a number of factors, risks and uncertainties that might cause actual results to differ materially from stated expectations or current circumstances.  These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in interest rates, increased costs of borrowing, decreased interest spreads, changes in political and monetary policies, changes in default rates, changes in prepayment rates, changes in the Company's returns, changes in the use of the Company's tax benefits, changes in the agency MBS asset yield, changes in the Company's monetization of net operating loss carry-forwards, changes in the Company's ability to generate cash earnings and dividends, preservation and utilization of our net operating loss and net capital loss carry-forwards, impacts of changes to and changes by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, actions taken by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the U.S. Treasury, availability of opportunities that meet or exceed the Company's risk adjusted return expectations, ability and willingness to make future dividends, ability to generate sufficient cash through retained earnings to satisfy capital needs, ability to realize book value growth through reflation of private-label MBS, and general economic, political, regulatory and market conditions.  These and other material risks are described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and any other documents filed by the Company with the SEC from time to time, which are available from the Company and from the SEC, and you should read and understand these risks when evaluating any forward-looking statement.

Financial data follow

 

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.








CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS








(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

Three Months Ended


Nine Months Ended

(Unaudited)

September 30,


September 30,



2015


2014


2015


2014

INTEREST INCOME









Interest on agency securities

$           37,325


$           26,711


$        103,769


$        66,603


Interest on private-label securities

3,244


6,583


12,442


20,585


Other

6


7


18


43


  Total interest income

40,575


33,301


116,229


87,231










INTEREST EXPENSE









Interest on short-term debt

3,989


2,422


10,464


6,280


Interest on long-term debt

1,176


554


3,004


1,657


  Total interest expense

5,165


2,976


13,468


7,937











  Net interest income

35,410


30,325


102,761


79,294










INVESTMENT (LOSS) GAIN, NET









Realized gain on sale of available-for-sale investments, net

969


3,467


17,434


12,826


Other-than-temporary impairment charges

-


(71)


-


(151)


Gain (loss) on trading investments, net

27,553


(18,025)


(21,005)


44,429


(Loss) gain from derivative instruments, net

(97,828)


7,556


(143,556)


(62,509)


Other, net

8


91


422


415


  Total investment (loss) gain, net

(69,298)


(6,982)


(146,705)


(4,990)










OTHER EXPENSES









Compensation and benefits

2,071


3,995


7,152


10,141


Other operating expenses 

1,174


1,059


3,232


3,448


  Total other expenses

3,245


5,054


10,384


13,589










Income (loss) before income taxes

(37,133)


18,289


(54,328)


60,715










Income tax provision

15,497


5,442


33,886


21,996










Net income (loss)

$         (52,630)


$           12,847


$         (88,214)


$        38,719










Basic earnings (loss) per share

$             (2.29)


$               0.62


$             (3.84)


$            2.03










Diluted earnings (loss) per share

$             (2.29)


$               0.61


$             (3.84)


$            1.99










Weighted average shares outstanding - basic (in thousands)

23,021


20,577


22,991


19,056

Weighted average shares outstanding - diluted (in thousands)

23,021


21,055


22,991


19,413










OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS), NET OF TAXES









Unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities (net of taxes
of $(1,562), $139, $(4,117), and $1,717, respectively)

$         ( 2,451 )


$                219


$         ( 6,775 )


$          2,697


Reclassification in investment (loss) gain, net, related to sales and other-than-temporary impairment charges on available-for-sale securities (net of tax of $(287), $(766), $(4,979) and $(3,866), respectively)

( 1,122 )


( 2,456 )


( 17,763 )


( 8,276 )

Comprehensive (loss) income

$       ( 56,203 )


$           10,610


$     ( 112,752 )


$        33,140

         

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.







CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS







(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)







(Unaudited)















 ASSETS 


September 30, 2015


June 30, 2015


December 31, 2014









 Cash and cash equivalents 


$                    13,529


$                  20,840


$                    33,832

 Interest receivable 


11,459


12,273


10,701

 Sold securities receivable 


28,035


51,690


-

 Mortgage-backed securities, at fair value 







   Private-label securities 


134,789


152,162


267,437

   Agency securities 


3,790,044


4,154,387


3,414,340

 Derivative assets, at fair value 


3,863


2,144


1,267

 Deferred tax assets, net 


103,319


113,121


125,607

 Deposits 


87,258


183,806


160,427

 Other assets 


9,938


4,247


4,120

   Total assets 


$               4,182,234


$             4,694,670


$               4,017,731

















 LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 















 Liabilities: 







 Repurchase agreements 


$               3,153,756


$             3,631,772


$               3,179,775

 FHLB advances 


308,500


-


-

 Interest payable 


1,200


1,267


1,106

 Accrued compensation and benefits 


4,293


2,989


6,067

 Dividend payable 


14,553


21,089


20,195

 Derivative liabilities, at fair value 


53,514


144,936


124,308

 Purchased securities payable 


92,107


271,035


-

 Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities 


1,003


894


1,006

 Long-term debt 


75,300


75,300


40,000

   Total liabilities 


3,704,226


4,149,282


3,372,457

















 Equity: 








 Common stock 


230


230


230

 Additional paid-in capital 


1,897,472


1,898,217


1,897,027

 Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of taxes 


11,334


14,907


35,872

 Accumulated deficit 


(1,431,028)


(1,367,966)


(1,287,855)

   Total equity    


478,008


545,388


645,274









   Total liabilities and equity 


$               4,182,234


$             4,694,670


$               4,017,731









 Book Value per Share 


$                      20.75


$                    23.71


$                      28.09









 Shares Outstanding (in thousands) (1) 


23,042


23,005


22,973









(1) Represents shares of Class A common stock and Class B common stock outstanding plus vested restricted stock units

convertible into Class A common stock less unvested restricted Class A common stock.




(2) During the third quarter of 2015, the Company determined that the previously reported deferred tax asset and accumulated deficit

were incorrect as of December 31, 2014.  The Company has revised the previously reported amounts by increasing the deferred tax asset

and decreasing the accumulated deficit by $3,242 for this correction.





        

In addition to the financial results reported in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles as consistently applied in the United States ("GAAP"), the Company calculated non-GAAP core operating income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 and 2014.  In determining core operating income, the Company excludes certain legacy litigation expenses and adjusts net income determined in accordance with GAAP for the following non-cash and other items: (i) compensation costs associated with stock-based awards, (ii) non-cash accretion of private-label MBS purchase discounts, (iii)  private-label MBS purchase discount accretion realized upon sale or repayment, (iv) other-than-temporary impairment charges, (v) other-than-temporary impairment charges realized upon sale, (vi) both realized and unrealized gains and losses on the agency MBS and all related hedge instruments, and (vii) non-cash income tax provisions. 

The Company's portfolio strategy on the Company's agency MBS portfolio is to generate a net interest margin on the leveraged assets and hedge the market value of the assets, expecting that the fluctuations in the market value of the agency MBS and related hedges should largely offset each other over time. As a result, the Company excludes both the realized and unrealized fluctuations in the gains and losses in the assets and hedges on its hedged agency MBS portfolio when assessing the underlying core operating income of the Company. However, the Company's portfolio strategy on the Company's private-label MBS portfolio is to generate a total cash return comprised of both interest income collected and the cash return realized when the private-label MBS are sold that equals the difference between the sale price and the discount to par paid at acquisition. Therefore, the Company excludes non-cash accretion of private-label MBS purchase discounts from non-GAAP core operating income, but includes realized cash gains or losses on its private-label MBS portfolio in core operating income to reflect the total cash return on those securities over their holding period.  Since the timing of realized cash gains or losses on private-label MBS may vary significantly between periods, the Company also reports core operating income excluding gains on private-label MBS.

These non-GAAP core operating income measurements are used by management to analyze and assess the Company's operating results on its portfolio and assist with the determination of the appropriate level of dividends.  The Company believes that these non-GAAP measurements assist investors in understanding the impact of these non-core items and non-cash expenses on our performance and provides additional clarity around our earnings capacity and trends. A limitation of utilizing this non-GAAP measure is that the GAAP accounting effects of these events do in fact reflect the underlying financial results of our business and these effects should not be ignored in evaluating and analyzing our financial results.  Additional limitations of core operating income are that it does not include economic financing costs on the Company's hedging instruments or amortization of premiums or discounts on the Company's agency MBS whereas those amounts are both reflected in net income determined in accordance with GAAP and changes in book value.  Therefore, the Company believes net income on a GAAP basis and these core operating income measures on a non-GAAP basis should be considered together.

The following is a reconciliation of GAAP net income to non-GAAP core operating income measures for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 and 2014 (dollars in thousands):

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.








NON-GAAP CORE OPERATING INCOME








(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

Three Months Ended


Nine Months Ended

(Unaudited)

September 30,


September 30,



2015


2014


2015


2014

GAAP net income (loss)

$         (52,630)


$           12,847


$         (88,214)


$        38,719

Adjustments:









Legacy litigation expenses

-


-


-


54


Non-cash income tax provision

14,729


5,114


32,035


21,100


Stock compensation

(189)


1,524


292


2,980


Net realized and unrealized loss on trading MBS and hedge instruments

70,275


10,374


164,460


17,808


Net Realized gain on private-label MBS

(969)


(3,467)


(17,434)


(12,826)


Other-than-temporary impairment charges

-


71


-


151










Non-GAAP core operating income excluding gain on private-label MBS

31,216


26,463


91,139


67,986











Net Realized gain on private-label MBS

969


3,467


17,434


12,826


Other-than-temporary impairment charges realized upon sale or repayment

( 1,222 )


-


( 7,303 )


( 4,026 )


Purchase discount accretion of private-label MBS realized upon sale or repayment

1,912


2,275


11,714


2,622


Non-cash interest income related to purchase discount accretion of private-label MBS

( 1,797 )


( 3,531 )


( 6,820 )


( 10,256 )










Non-GAAP core operating income

$           31,078


$           28,674


$        106,164


$        69,152










Non-GAAP core operating income excluding gain on private-label MBS per diluted share

$               1.35


$               1.26


$              3.96


$            3.50










Non-GAAP core operating income per diluted share

$               1.35


$               1.36


$              4.61


$            3.56










Weighted average diluted shares outstanding

23,065


21,055


23,041


19,413

         

The following tables present information on the Company's investment portfolio as of September 30, 2015:

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.









AGENCY INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO









As of September 30, 2015










(Dollars in thousands)










(Unaudited)
































Agency MBS:












Face Amount


Fair Value


Market Price


Coupon


Weighted
Average Life

30-year fixed rate:











3.5%

$            513,911


$            537,352


$              104.56


3.50%


9.8


4.0%

2,895,740


3,107,689


107.32


4.00%


7.9


4.5%

132,709


144,977


109.24


4.50%


6.7


5.5%

23


26


112.01


5.50%


4.5


Total/weighted average

$         3,542,383


$         3,790,044


106.99


3.95%


8.1


































Net TBA Securities:












Net Notional
Amount


Net Cost Basis


Net Market Value


Net Carrying
Value



30-year fixed rate:











3.5%

$            255,000


$            263,438


$            265,824


$               2,386




4.0%

85,000


89,789


90,511


722



15-year fixed rate:











3.0%

50,000


51,656


52,039


383




Total

$            390,000


$            404,883


$            408,374


$               3,491



          

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.


PRIVATE-LABEL MBS PORTFOLIO


As of September 30, 2015


(Dollars in thousands)


(Unaudited)




Face value

$     179,156

Unamortized discount

$    ( 58,331)

Amortized cost

$     120,825

Net unrealized gain

$       13,963

Fair market value

$     134,788

Fair market value (as a % of face value)

75.2%

Quarterly GAAP yield (annualized)

9.77%

Weighted average coupon

3.03%



60+ days delinquent

12.1%

Credit enhancement

0.1%

Constant default rate (3-month)

3.0%

Loss severity (3-month)

29.2%

Voluntary prepayment rate (3-month)

10.9%

        

SOURCE Arlington Asset Investment Corp.

For further information: Media: 703.373.0200 or ir@arlingtonasset.com, or Investors: Rich Konzmann at 703.373.0200 or ir@arlingtonasset.com